Introduction
As the US voters prepare to cast their ballots, the eyes of the world are drawn to the implications of this pivotal moment, particularly for the Middle East. This year, the anticipation is heightened, especially following the recent escalation of violence marked by the Hamas attack on Israel on October 7, 2023. The outcome of the US November elections could significantly shape geopolitical dynamics in the region.
The Role of US Foreign Policy
The US has long been regarded as Israel’s closest ally, wielding substantial influence over Middle Eastern affairs. Whether Kamala Harris carries forward the policies of Joe Biden or Donald Trump makes a return to power, the impact on the region will be profound. Trump has previously asserted that he is “the most pro-Israel president in US history,” a claim that reflects his administration’s approach to Middle Eastern diplomacy.
Potential Scenarios and Outcomes
Trump’s presidency saw significant shifts in US foreign policy, such as moving the US embassy to Jerusalem and recognizing the Golan Heights as part of Israel. His approach included reinforcing ties with Israel through initiatives like the Abraham Accords, which normalized relations between Israel and several Arab states. In contrast, a continuation of Democratic leadership might steer US policies towards more balanced approaches concerning the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. As the election approaches, the response of Middle Eastern nations to the electoral results may also shape upcoming diplomatic strategies.
Ultimately, the stakes are undeniably high, and the reverberations of these electoral decisions will be felt across the Middle East for years to come.